Monday, April 21, 2025

OpenAI’s o3 AI mannequin scores decrease on a benchmark than the corporate initially implied

A discrepancy between first- and third-party benchmark outcomes for OpenAI’s o3 AI mannequin is elevating questions concerning the firm’s transparency and mannequin testing practices.

When OpenAI unveiled o3 in December, the corporate claimed the mannequin might reply simply over a fourth of questions on FrontierMath, a difficult set of math issues. That rating blew the competitors away — the next-best mannequin managed to reply solely round 2% of FrontierMath issues appropriately.

“Right now, all choices on the market have lower than 2% [on FrontierMath],” Mark Chen, chief analysis officer at OpenAI, stated throughout a livestream. “We’re seeing [internally], with o3 in aggressive test-time compute settings, we’re in a position to recover from 25%.”

Because it seems, that determine was seemingly an higher sure, achieved by a model of o3 with extra computing behind it than the mannequin OpenAI publicly launched final week.

Epoch AI, the analysis institute behind FrontierMath, launched outcomes of its unbiased benchmark exams of o3 on Friday. Epoch discovered that o3 scored round 10%, nicely under OpenAI’s highest claimed rating.

That doesn’t imply OpenAI lied, per se. The benchmark outcomes the corporate revealed in December present a lower-bound rating that matches the rating Epoch noticed. Epoch additionally famous its testing setup seemingly differs from OpenAI’s, and that it used an up to date launch of FrontierMath for its evaluations.

“The distinction between our outcomes and OpenAI’s is perhaps as a result of OpenAI evaluating with a extra highly effective inside scaffold, utilizing extra test-time [computing], or as a result of these outcomes had been run on a unique subset of FrontierMath (the 180 issues in frontiermath-2024-11-26 vs the 290 issues in frontiermath-2025-02-28-private),” wrote Epoch.

In keeping with a put up on X from the ARC Prize Basis, a corporation that examined a pre-release model of o3, the general public o3 mannequin “is a unique mannequin […] tuned for chat/product use,” corroborating Epoch’s report.

“All launched o3 compute tiers are smaller than the model we [benchmarked],” wrote ARC Prize. Typically talking, greater compute tiers may be anticipated to attain higher benchmark scores.

OpenAI’s personal Wenda Zhou, a member of the technical workers, stated throughout a livestream final week that the o3 in manufacturing is “extra optimized for real-world use instances” and velocity versus the model of o3 demoed in December. In consequence, it might exhibit benchmark “disparities,” he added.

“[W]e’ve finished [optimizations] to make the [model] extra price environment friendly [and] extra helpful on the whole,” Zhou stated. “We nonetheless hope that — we nonetheless suppose that — this can be a significantly better mannequin […] You gained’t have to attend as lengthy if you’re asking for a solution, which is an actual factor with these [types of] fashions.”

Granted, the truth that the general public launch of o3 falls wanting OpenAI’s testing guarantees is a little bit of a moot level, because the firm’s o3-mini-high and o4-mini fashions outperform o3 on FrontierMath, and OpenAI plans to debut a extra highly effective o3 variant, o3-pro, within the coming weeks.

It’s, nevertheless, one other reminder that AI benchmarks are finest not taken at face worth — notably when the supply is an organization with companies to promote.

Benchmarking “controversies” have gotten a standard incidence within the AI business as distributors race to seize headlines and mindshare with new fashions.

In January, Epoch was criticized for ready to reveal funding from OpenAI till after the corporate introduced o3. Many teachers who contributed to FrontierMath weren’t knowledgeable of OpenAI’s involvement till it was made public.

Extra lately, Elon Musk’s xAI was accused of publishing deceptive benchmark charts for its newest AI mannequin, Grok 3. Simply this month, Meta admitted to touting benchmark scores for a model of a mannequin that differed from the one the corporate made obtainable to builders.

Up to date 4:21 p.m. Pacific: Added feedback from Wenda Zhou, a member of the OpenAI technical workers, from a livestream final week.


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